The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. Electoral votes invalidated. Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. I don't know where to begin! On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. In 2018, the governor's race was settled by just 55,000 votes. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? . "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? But registration figures vary greatly by county. All three of those states were very close in both elections. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. 10. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. Good evening from Philadelphia! In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. 2020 Electoral Map Results. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. (PA, GA, MI)". Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. That solved the problem. President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. VOA explains. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? Thats a point that they made. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. There was an error processing your request. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. You have to beware with these reports, though. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: Out of. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. Republican One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. So how does all that look visually? With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. And this basic arithmetic is in place even before voters factor in the disgraceful fact that VP candidate Kamala Harris is a self-admitted BLM-backed Marxist. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. Not one! ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. I think it's the state to watch. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year.